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mentum initiated by year-end purchases over the last 2-weeks, (3) a resumption of the euphoria for Internet issues, (4) recent indications that individual investors are putting money back into the stock market after several weeks of withdrawals.
Bearish factors included (1) profit taking in the large-cap issues, (2) a decline in telephone shares as Bell Atlantic was reported in talks to purchase AirTouch, (3) valuation concerns with the S&P 500's P/E ratio touching an all-time high of 31.9 on Dec 23rd (more than twice its long-term historical average), and (4) a narrowing of the market's breadth in December as the majority of the gains were confined to a number of high-tech stocks.
At the top of the most active list on a whopping 101.31 million shares was Amoco (+9.4%). The oil company dropped sharply last Wednesday as the approval of the $61.7 bln purchase by British Petroleum will result in the company falling out of the S&P 500 index. However, global investors realized that the merger puts Amoco into the FTSE-100 and money managers tracking the UK index must acquire the shares. America Online (+5.2%) was the second most active issue on 39.82 million shares as the hoopla surrounding its inclusion in the S&P 500 index last Thursday proved strongly positive. Compuware (+1.6%) rose on 20.40 million shares and posted a fresh 52-week high. Last Wednesday, Fortune named Compuware one of the 100 best companies to work for in America.
Of the S&P 500's 89 sub-indexes, 47 closed higher last Thursday while 41 closed lower. Market breadth was bullish with 301 of the S&P 500 stocks closing lower while 183 rose. On a capitalization weighted basis, the financial sub-index (2.05%) was the worst performing group in the S&P 500 index as Citigroup (1-1/16), Fannie Mae (1-9/16), and Morgan Stanley Dean Witter (2-3/16) all fell. Although financial companies expect another busy year in 1999, investors are cautious about the ability of the US securities industry to place more than the record of $1.82 trillion in securities set in 1998. The money center bank sub-index (2.55%) was the second poorest performing group followed by the telephone sub-index (1.01%) in the third slot.

 
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